Research

Research Interests: Macroeconomics, Economic Growth, Demography, Public Economics

Peer-reviewed Publications

  1. Fertility and Career Choices in an Overlapping Generations Model with Sandwich Caregivers (2025). Economic Modelling, 107262. doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107262.

  2. The Aging Tax on Potential Growth in Asia (2022). Journal of Asian Economics, Vol. 81, p.101495. doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2022.101495, [PDF].

Work in Progress

with PDF

  1. Dual Caregiving, Declining Birth Rate, and Economic Stability. (with Akiomi Kitagawa). (Working Paper) (Under Review)

  2. The Explosive Growth and Rapid Contraction of an Overlapping-Generations Economy. (Working Paper) (R&R)

  3. Fertility When Consumption Takes Time. (PDF)

  4. Mission Impossible? Challenges for Countries Escaping the Middle-Income Trap (with Quoc Thai Le). (PDF)

  5. Rational Addiction, Cigarette Consumption and Quitting Behaviors. (with Tuong-Vy Phan, Anh Ngoc Nguyen) (PDF)

draft coming soon

  1. Fiscal Implications of Aging and Informality in Emerging Asia.

  2. Endogenous Technology Choice and Green Transition (with Thi-Kim-Cuong Pham).

  3. Political Selection and the Development Trap.

  4. Longevity, Retirement, and Filial Transfers in an Aging Economy (with Van-Quy Nguyen)

  5. The Economic Life Cycle in Viet Nam, 1993–2024: Evidence from National Transfer Accounts (with Minh-Chau Pham).

  6. What Drives Business Cycles in Vietnam? Evidence from an Estimated SOE DSGE Model. (with Van-Quy Nguyen, Quang Huy Nguyen, and Ha Thi Tran)

  7. Foreign Direct Investment, Risk Premium and the Business Cycle in Small Open Emerging Economies.

Policy Papers

  1. Vietnam’s Annual Macroeconomic Review 2025. PDF. Data
  2. Challenges and Strategies for Viet Nam in Escaping the Middle-Income Trap. PDF

Conferences

Upcoming (2026)

Past Presentations

  • Japanese Economic Association Spring Meeting (May 29, 2022, Yokohama).
  • The 1st RCPD Research Seminar on Contemporary Economics (Tohoku University, 2022).
  • ISER Seminar Series (Osaka University, 2023).
  • The 14th Vietnam Economist Annual Meeting (University of Da Nang, 2023).
  • Japanese Economic Association Fall Meeting (Kansai University, 2023).
  • The 18th Macroeconomics Conference for Young Economists (Kyoto University, 2024).
  • Joint workshop TU Research Center for Policy Design and Sophia Institute for Human Security (Tohoku University, 2024).
  • MFE Seminar (National Economics University, 2025/02)
  • The 16th Vietnam Economist Annual Meeting (TUEBA, December 9-10, 2025).
  • ISEAS - ADBI Joint Seminar: Shaping Southeast Asia’s Future Prosperity with Quality Growth (ISEAS Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore, May, 2026)
  • British Academy International Writing Workshop (SWU Bangkok, May 2026)

Referee Service

Energy Economics, Economic Modelling, Applied Economics,

Journal of Southeast Asian Economies, Southeast Asian Journal of Economics